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Published November 14, 2008
Pigskin Picks for 2008 - College and Pro Football PredictionsEach week I make picks against the spread for both college and pro football. Lines used below are as they were when picks were made, usually on Thursday or Friday. For fun and information only of course! 2007 final results: 62-53. Not a bad year, but it could have been a great year without a cold streak in some college bowl games that I should have avoided (but picked anyway because my fans demanded it!). ------------------------------------------------------------------------ Nov. 15-16. Last week 5-2, season 39-31-3. College 1. (W) Connecticut (-10) at Syracuse 2. (W) UCLA (-6.5) at Washington 3. (W) Nebraska (-6) at Kansas State 4. (L) Ohio State at Illinois (under 46) Pro 1. (W) New Orleans (-5) at Kansas City 2. (W) San Diego at Pittsburght (under 42.5) 3. (L )Baltimore (+7) at NY Giants ------------------------------------------------------------------------ Nov. 8-9. Last week 4-4, season 34-29-3. College 1. (W) Ohio State (-11) at Northwestern - The Wildcats are occasionally the Buckeyes nemisis, but more often they get rolled by Ohio State. 2. (W) Alabama (-3.5) at LSU - Sorry Tiger fans, this won't be your year to get revenge on Saban. 3. (L) Kansas (+1.5) at Nebraska - Still trying to figure out why this line isn't 3-4 points in Kansas' favor. 4. (W) Arizona St. (-14) at Washington - A bettor's rule is to never ask a bad team to win for you, and Arizona St. probably falls into that category, but Washington's kind of bad is at a historic level, so give the points here . Pro 1. (W) Tennessee (-3) at Chicago - The Titans will eventually lose a game this year, but it won't be this week. 2. (L) Seattle at Miami (-8) - The downtrodden Seahawks must travel across country for an early game again, and the Dolphins are a team on the rise and building some momentum. 3. (W) New York Giants (+3) at Philadelphia - The 7-1 defending Super Bowl champs are the underdog? Take the points. ------------------------------------------------------------------------ Nov. 1-2. Last week 3-4, season 30-25-3. College 1. (L) Northwestern at Minnesota (-7) - Alert! The Gophers have a legitimate shot at the Rose Bowl! 2. (L) Pittsburgh at Notre Dame (-5) - I'm not an Irish fan (of the football team!), but they've been pretty good to me this year. Home field makes the difference in this one. 3. (W) Nebraska at Oklahoma (-21) - The Sooners have too much offense for Nebraska to keep it close, and the Sooners roll at home to stay among the nation's elite. 4. (W) Florida (-6.5) at Georgia - This game could well be close, but the overall better talent of the Gators should let them win by at least a touchdown, plus they are highly motivated after Georgia's run on the field stunt from last year. Pro 1. (L) Jacksonville (-7) at Cincinnati - The Jaguars are a much better team than the Bengals, and this is a game they must win. 2. (W) Philadelphia (-6.5) at Seattle - The Eagles are getting healthy and are simply a much better team than the Seahawks right now, plus they need this win to stay in the NFC East hunt. 3. (W) New England (+6.5) at Indianapolis - Even without Tom Brady I like the odds of the Patriots and Belichick getting that many points, especially against a Colts team that has been less than impressive in most games this year. 4. (L) Pittsburgh at Washington (-2) - The Steelers injury problems and troubles on the offensive line will prove too much to overcome for a road Monday night game against a solid Redskins team. ------------------------------------------------------------------------ Oct. 25-26. Last week 4-2-1, season 27-21-3. College 1. Illinois (-2.5) at Wisconsin - Badgers are spiraling downward. 2. Michigan St. (-4) at Michigan - Spartans recover from last week's bad game against Ohio St. and give the Wolverines some payback. 3. Notre Dame (-10) at Washington - Huskies are dogs. 4. Eastern Michigan at Ball State (-24) - The undefeated Cardinals are a great story, but no one knows about them. Eastern Michigan will get their lesson Saturday afternoon. Pro 1. Seattle at San Francisco (-5.5) - New head coach Mike Singletary will suit up and lead the 49'ers defense to a shut out of the struggling Seahawks. 2. Oakland at Baltimore (-7) - Ravens defense will dominate at home. Rumor has it that they have a bounty on Al Davis. 3. Tampa Bay (+2) at Dallas - Cowboys problems run deeper than most people think. ------------------------------------------------------------------------ Oct. 18-19. Last week 3-4, season 23-19-2. College 1. (L) Stanford (+2.5) at UCLA - UCLA has burned me a couple of times this year already (they only play good when I pick against them!), but this Cardinal team is hungry and playing for an eventual bowl berth. 2. (L) Miami at Bowling Green (-9.5) - A big MAC battle for the birds. Falcons prevail over Redhawks. 3. (W) Purdue at Northwestern (-4) - Boilermakers have to go on the road again and have a letdown after last week's all out effort against Ohio State. 4. (W) Michigan at Penn St. (-25) - JoePa's been good to me so far this year, and there'll be no looking ahead to the Nittany Lion's game against Ohio State next week. Penn St. would love to crush RichRod and the Wolverines, and this is a great opportunity to do so. Pro 1. (W) Tennessee (-8) at Kansas City - I'm surprised this line isn't 10 or 12, it should be. 2. (W) Pittsburgh (-9.5) at Cincinnati - Rested Steelers squad should have no problem handling the Bengals. 3. (T) New York Jets (-3) at Oakland - Two teams heading in opposite directions. Take the team heading in the right direction. ------------------------------------------------------------------------ Oct. 11-12. Last week 6-1, season 20-15-2. College 1. (W) Toledo (+16.5) at Michigan - With the exception of the Wisconsin fluke, picking against the Wolverines has been good to me. The Mud Hens would have a chance to win this game. 2. (L) East Carolina (-6) at Virginia - These Pirates should be at least a touchdown better than these Cavaliers even if Lebron James was lining up for them. 3. (L) Purdue at Ohio State (-18.5) - The Buckeyes often play down to their opponent and don't run up the score, but in this game giving almost 3 touchdowns shouldn't be a problem unless the defense lets up in the 4th quarter like they did against Minnesota. 4. (W) LSU at Florida (-6) - I normally avoid big games like this one because it's too easy for it to go either way, but in this case I think the Gators are about to get on one of their patented rolls, plus playing at home they should be able to keep the Tigers off the scoreboard enough to cover this spot. Pro 1. (L) Carolina (+2) at Tampa Bay - The Panthers, and especially their defense, are underrated and will win this game outright. 2. (W) Green Bay (-1.5) at Seattle - The Seahawks are horrible and show no signs of getting better soon. 3. (L) Baltimore (+4.5) at Indianapolis - The Ravens defense is great, the Colts seem to be unsure of themselves, despite a very lucky win against the Texans last week. Take the points. ------------------------------------------------------------------------ Oct. 4-5. Last week 3-3-1, season 14-14-2. College 1. (W) Penn St. (-13.5) at Purdue - Stick with a team when they're this hot. 2. (W) Florida (-24) at Arkansas - The Hogs suffer the consequences for the Gators bad outcome last week. 3. (W) Illinois (+2) at Michigan - The Wolverines got lucky last week, but it's not enough to cover up what is still a pretty bad team. This line would be 10 points in the other direction had Wisconsin not had an epic choke in the second half last Saturday. Back to reality for Rich and Wolverine fans. 4. (W) Missouri (-10) at Nebraska - Simply too much offense for Missouri against a still suspect Nebraska defense, and 4th ranked Missouri will be looking to pile it on to make up for 15 straight losses in Lincoln. Pro 1. (W) Seattle at NY Giants (-7) - Maybe there's a chance that the Giants don't cover this one (yes, I admit there is at least a chance), but does anyone think that barring some strange happenings that New York isn't a touchdown better than this inferior Seattle team traveling all the way across the country? 2. (L) Pittsburgh at Jacksonville (-4) - Jaguars are too tough at home on national TV for a banged up Steelers team missing even more key players now. 3. (W) Tennessee (+3) at Baltimore - I'm surprised this line isn't reversed, especially with the Ravens coming off a brutal Monday night loss and having to face another very good, very physical team in the 4-0 Titans. ------------------------------------------------------------------------ Sept. 27-28. Last week 4-2, season 11-11-1. College 1. (L) Minnesota at Ohio St. (-20) 2. (T) Western Michigan (-4) at Temple 3. (L) Wisconsin (-6) at Michigan 4. (L) Fresno State (-7) at UCLA Pro 1. (W) San Diego (-7) at Oakland 2. (W) Baltimore (+6) at Pittsburgh 3. (W) Minnesota at Tennessee (-3) ------------------------------------------------------------------------ Sept. 20-21. Last week 3-2-1, season 7-9-1. College 1. (L) Iowa (+1) at Pittsburgh 2. (W) Temple at Penn St. (-28) 3. (W) Florida (-7) at Tennessee Pro 1. (W) Kansas City at Atlanta (-5.5) 2. (W) Houston at Tennessee (-5) 3. (L) Miami at New England (-12.5) ------------------------------------------------------------------------ Sept. 13-14. Last week 3-4, season 4-7. College 1. (L) Ohio State (+11.5) at USC - This is not a homer pick. The Buckeyes had a bad game last week, and the only reason this line jumped as high as it did is because of their poor showing in the Ohio U. game. Does anyone really think that the same Ohio State team that showed up last Saturday will be the same team that shows up this Saturday? Perhaps they won't stay under the spread, but the odds are certainly in their favor and getting this many points is too much to pass up. 2. (W) Penn St. (-28) at Syracuse - Yes, that's a lot of points, but if Penn St. doesn't win this game by at least 35, it's only because they didn't care. I say JoePa and their seniors will keep them focused as they have a chance to have a great year. 3. (Tie) Georgia (-7) at South Carolina - The Gamecocks are routinely overrated, and this year is no exception. The Bulldogs will put on a show in their conference opener before heading out west next week for a huge game at Arizona St. Free advice of the week: stay AWAY from the Notre Dame - Michigan game. Pro 1. (W) Tennessee (+1) at Cincinnati - How are the Bengals favored in this game? Despite the Vince Young distraction this week, I don't see the Titans letting themselves lose this one. 2. (W) Miami at Arizona (-6.5) - The Cardinals are a team on the rise, and their home opener will give them a chance to prove it against a still bad Dolphins team, certainly enough to win by one touchdown. 3. (L) Pittsburgh (-6) at Cleveland - It pains me to pick this one, but until the Browns show the ability to reverse the trend in this series, it's hard not to see the Steelers winning this game by at least a touchdown. Cleveland hopes to avoid another embarrassment on national TV. ------------------------------------------------------------------------ Sept. 6-7. Started off the season 1-3 last week. Totally blew the Louisville pick, but come on, did you see that Tennessee/UCLA game? Should have been a gimme. And if Wisconsin hadn't fallen asleep in the second quarter, they would have rolled over the Zips by plenty. To top it off, I changed my pick from Bowling Green (which beat Pittsburgh outright) to Louisville (what was I thinking?) at the last minute. Ok, enough of the sour grapes, on to week 2 (week 1 for the pros), with a heaving leaning toward the favorites. College 1. (L) Boston College (-7) over Georgia Tech - A rebuilding year for Georgia Tech, and more of a reloading year for Boston College. Should cover this game easily at home. 2. (W) Penn St. (-15) over Oregon State - Second straight tough road game for Oregon St. to open the season. JoePa's team will have the advantage and should score plenty on a Beaver's defense that gave up 36 to Stanford last week. 3. (L) Notre Dame (-21) over San Diego State - I won't pick the Irish very often, but Charlie Weis will be looking to get the season off on the right foot this year and the Aztecs lost their opener last week to Cal Poly. Enough said. 4. (W) Florida (-22.5) over Miami - Remember when this used to be a good game? Not any longer, Gators will crush the Hurricanes this year. Pro 1. (W) NY Jets (-3) at Miami - Sorry Tuna, your team still stinks. Brett Favre gets his New York career off to a good start. 2. (L) Cincinnati (-2) at Baltimore - The Bengals have enough offense to score against the Ravens, and Baltimore is starting a rookie quarterback in his first NFL game, so don't look for a lot of points from Baltimore. If Cincinnati doesn't win this one, it'll be a long season for the Bengals. 3. (L) Indianapolis (-10) over Chicago - Peyton Manning doesn't play in the preseason? Doesn't matter, Colts roll at home on Sunday night. --------------------------------------- Aug. 30-31. College picks only, the Pro's join the fun next week. Early in the season is typically a good time to spot some mismatches that the point spread hasn't picked up on yet, thus the prevalence towards going with the favorites, with one noteable exception. 1. (L) Tennessee (-7) over UCLA - Rick Neuheisel will eventually have success at UCLA, but not in this first game of the year after losing his top quarterbacks to injury before the season even started. 2. (L) Wisconsin (-26.5) over Akron - The game is in Madison and the Badgers should maul an over matched Zips team that will struggle to find a way to score on Wisconsin's defense. 3. (L) Louisville (-3.5) over Kentucky - Too much offensive firepower for the Cardinals against a rebuilding Wildcats team. 4. (W) Utah (+3) at Michigan - I almost avoided this one simply because so many other outlets are predicting a Utes victory, but they truly are a very good team and should give a young Michigan team more than they can handle, despite the early momentum that the Wolverines may enjoy as Rich Rodriguez begins his coaching career for the maize and blue. ---------------------------------------
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